|
National Response Scenario Number One is the United States federal government's planned response to a nuclear attack.〔http://cees.tamiu.edu/covertheborder/TOOLS/NationalPlanningSen.pdf〕 It is one of the National Response Scenarios developed by the United States Department of Homeland Security, considered the most likely of fifteen emergency scenarios to impact the United States. The Scenarios are related to the National Response Framework (NRF), which describes the structures and mechanisms of a response and the National Incident Management System (NIMS) that gives a framework to orchestrate emergency management. The guidelines and the implementation framework were developed after the September 11 attacks and the Hurricane Katrina disaster. ==The Nuclear Threat== Nuclear weapons materials on the black market are a global concern,〔Jay Davis. (After A Nuclear 9/11 ) ''The Washington Post'', March 25, 2008.〕〔Brian Michael Jenkins. (A Nuclear 9/11? ), CNN, September 11, 2008.〕 and there is concern about the possible detonation of a small, crude nuclear weapon by a terrorist group in a major city, with significant loss of life and property.〔Orde Kittrie. (Averting Catastrophe: Why the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty is Losing its Deterrence Capacity and How to Restore It ) May 22, 2007, p. 338.〕〔Nicholas D. Kristof. (A Nuclear 9/11 ) ''The New York Times'', March 10, 2004.〕 President Barack Obama has reviewed Homeland Security policy and concluded that "attacks using improvised nuclear devices ... pose a serious and increasing national security risk."〔The White House. (Homeland Security )〕 In their presidential contest, President George W. Bush and Senator John Kerry both agreed that the most serious danger facing the United States is the possibility that terrorists could obtain a nuclear bomb.〔 Most nuclear-weapon analysts agree that "building such a device would pose few technological challenges to reasonably competent" terrorists. The main barrier is acquiring highly enriched uranium.〔Charles D. Ferguson. (Preventing a nuclear 9/11 : First, secure the highly enriched uranium ) ''The New York Times'', September 24, 2004.〕 Despite a number of claims,〔Paul Williams (2005). ''The Al Qaeda Connection : International Terrorism, Organized Crime, and the Coming Apocalypse'', Prometheus Books, pp. 192–194.〕〔(Nuclear 9/11: Interview with Dr. Paul L. Williams ) ''Global Politician'', September 11, 2007.〕 there is no credible evidence that any terrorist group has yet succeeded in obtaining a nuclear bomb or the materials needed to make one.〔Matthew Bunn. (Preventing a Nuclear 9/11 ) ''Issues in Science and Technology'', Winter 2005, p. v.〕〔Ajay Singh. (Nuclear terrorism — Is it real or the stuff of 9/11 nightmares? ) ''UCLA Today'', February 11, 2009.〕 In 2004, Graham Allison, U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense during the Clinton administration, wrote that "on the current path, a nuclear terrorist attack on America in the decade ahead is more likely than not."〔 Also in 2004, Bruce Blair, president of the Center for Defense Information stated: "I wouldn't be at all surprised if nuclear weapons are used over the next 15 or 20 years, first and foremost by a terrorist group that gets its hands on a Russian nuclear weapon or a Pakistani nuclear weapon."〔 In 2006, Robert Gallucci of the Georgetown University School of Foreign Service estimated that "it is more likely than not that al-Qaeda or one of its affiliates will detonate a nuclear weapon in a U.S. city within the next five to ten years."〔Orde Kittrie. (Averting Catastrophe: Why the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty is Losing its Deterence Capacity and How to Restore It ) May 22, 2007, p. 342.〕 抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア（Wikipedia）』 ■ウィキペディアで「National Response Scenario Number One」の詳細全文を読む スポンサード リンク
|